Stella Dimoko Korkus.com: Hillary Versus Trump - America Will Vote In 100 Days..

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Monday, August 01, 2016

Hillary Versus Trump - America Will Vote In 100 Days..

The two party conventions are over. The first general election debate is in 56 days. The general election is 99 days away. Now seems like a good time to look at what we know about the clash between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.





1. There is no Trump 2.0. 
I’ve been saying this for a while now. There is no pivot. There is no new and improved version. There is just Donald Trump — take him or leave him. Ask yourself this: What successful 70-year-old man — in the immediate aftermath of one of the greatest victories of his life — decides to do things totally differently? The answer is no 70-year-old man, particularly one with the level of supreme confidence displayed by Trump.


“There is no other Donald Trump,” Clinton said in her acceptance speech last week in Philadelphia. “This is it.” That’s right. For Republicans desperately hoping that Trump stops attacking members of his own party or takes a break from Twitter, it’s just not going to happen. Trump is going to be Trump; Republicans have to decide whether that’s who they want to vote for.


2. Hillary Clinton is going to play it safe.
Clinton’s defining trait as a politician is her cautiousness. She doesn’t leap before she looks. Ever.  Her selection of Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) as her vice presidential running mate — and reporting that suggests Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack finished second in the veepstakes — makes clear that Clinton isn’t going to take any major risks in the coming days of the campaign.

What that caution reflects is a belief — never stated publicly — among Clinton and her senior aides that if she does the basic blocking and tackling in swing states, makes no major mistakes and just keeps letting Trump talk, she wins. Based on the electoral map and Trump’s demographic problems with Hispanic voters, that looks like a smart strategy today.


3. Trump has a very narrow electoral path.
If Trump loses this fall, many Republicans will heap blame on him and the campaign he is running. Some of that blame will be fair. Much of it won’t be, for this reason: No Republican presidential nominee starts off with a 50-50 shot of beating their Democratic opponent because of the GOP’s huge disadvantages in the electoral map.

Consider this: Eighteen states, plus the District of Columbia, have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in each of the six elections between 1992 and 2012. They yield 242 electoral votes. There are 13 states that have voted for the Republican nominee in every presidential election since 1992. They yield 102 electoral votes. So, if Clinton wins the 18 states in the “Blue Wall” and wins Florida (and its 29 electoral votes), the election is over. She is president.

4. Clinton and Trump may be the only people each other can beat.
We are dealing with two very unpopular nominees — the two least popular major-party picks in modern presidential politics. These are two deeply flawed candidates with problems that almost certainly can’t be fixed.
For Trump, the issue is that people simply struggle to see him as someone who could actually be president. His short temper, tendency to overstate and seeming unwillingness to back away from his more divisive rhetoric make Trump less than ideal as a major-party nominee.

Meanwhile, Clinton labors under deep doubt about her honesty and trustworthiness — concerns that were only exacerbated by her mishandling of the email controversy regarding her electronic correspondence at the State Department. Clinton has rhetorically bowed to the idea that she has work to do to convince people — “I get it that some people just don’t know what to make of me,” she said in her acceptance speech at the convention — but it’s unclear whether anything she could say or do would change minds.

The simple fact is that Trump is the only Republican Clinton can beat and Clinton is the only Democrat Trump can beat.

5.  The next three months are going to be incredibly nasty.
When you have two candidates who are as disliked as these two, the path to victory isn’t to make yourself more likable — it’s to make the other person even less well liked.  Money spent on ads trying to make either Clinton or Trump more appealing to the electorate is almost certainly a waste.

What that means is that you are going to hear a lot more about “Crooked Hillary” from Trump and a lot more about Trump’s controversial comments about women, Hispanics and, well, almost everyone else from Clinton.
Brace yourself: It’s going to be the nastiest 99 days you have ever seen in a political campaign.

culled- washington post

43 comments:

  1. Very tight but #istandwithher

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  2. Americans should go out and vote for my baby girl Hillary.
    She got this
    She's going to make a better president than the monumental asshole.
    #Girlpower

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  3. Well, since Nigeria is boring enough with lots of padding, unpadding and probing, I might as well follow this drama that promises to be a very interesting one.

    I want Clinton to win though.

    #WhiteDiamondOut

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  4. Hilary Clinton has won already...
    Most people here will vote for her...politicians are all the same everywhere...
    The propaganda is just too much...Americans don't want an ashewo First Lady...kwakwakwakwa...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ashewo must know ashewo

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    2. You Really Like That Word 'Propaganda' Don't You?

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    3. Bitch you too na ashawo

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  5. 100 days to go and naked picture of Melania Trump as a model just had to surface online. I trust Donald Trump to have the right reply for the mischief makers.

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  6. Trump will give Clinton a close run at the polls but will loose. Clinton will rule a shaky 4yrs and be ousted by a younger and more vibrant MAN as the candidate for her Democrat party in 2020. My prediction.

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    Replies
    1. Oshey 🙌eyan soothsayer👏

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  7. Hilary Clinton all the way mehhhnnn.
    You can't compare sleep and death na. Her portfolio is rich, outstanding years of experience, being the United States Secretary of States and also the First Lady ain't beans nwanne.

    I love love her positions that Human rights are women rights and women rights are Human rights. Her stance and achievements on child health care, insurance and adoption is everything. She has love for family. Madddd love.

    Donald Trump? Has been a TV personality, TV presenter and all soft saddles. Make e go siddon jor. Always eager to attack blacks, Hispanics, Caucasians. Wetin be im own sef. No official experience, all ANGER, the hair sef dey para join.

    The next 99 days will be tough, Donald will get more angry and bitter, thereby vomitting more bile, if only Hilary will let him talk more and ignore him but no, she will retaliate straight on slamming his mouth with flip flop slippers (as the General Overseer of The Flip Flop Union...hahahaha, bvs and memes wan kii me).

    The world is watching and waiting. As it is for now, Hilary has few percentage limits over Donald, she is playing safe and is ever gonna rule safe, Donald is the wild and uncouth one, shaming colored people and women. And the Democrats are happier for it.

    Congrats Hilary in advance.
    Next weekend I change bearing for the last assignment, before they upturn things. Can't wait jare.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. U seem too eager to prove that u are intelligent. Calm down, we dont care.

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    2. Dundee anonymous stop trolling xp's comment, this is a new month go and respect yourself, if they catch you now you will start crying like a fowl.

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    3. Hillary wins!!!!!!

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  8. If I have my way I will vote for Trump.

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  9. donald trump resemble marshmallow, see him hair lol

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  10. We are waiting...let them vote so Scandal can decide if Melly's winning abeg

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  11. America deserves better than these two

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    Replies
    1. I agree.. almost reminds me of our 2015 election. It was truly betwn the devil and the deep blue sea

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  12. America deserves better than these two

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  13. America deserves better than these two

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    Replies
    1. There you go...that it. But what can we do? Use what is dished out to us.

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  14. These two things...nude Melania Trump and the video of her plagiarising Michelle with incoherent tenses closes Trump's case as far as I'm concerned. Talk more of his loud mouth.
    I wish Clinton all the best

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  15. Replies
    1. Jealousy! Trump is a loser

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  16. Nude pics shld not be an issue, everyone is nude or almost nude these days. None of the candidates make sense

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  17. #Don't look towards others to complete you. Depend on yourself for happiness and you'll never lose it*

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  18. None of them is good, but we are stuck with Hilary. Voting Donald trump is risky. He can wake up one day and do something nasty.

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  19. #TeamHillary all the way. Trump is a joke

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  20. Something different, no matter how it ends up. Trump for president.

    ReplyDelete

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